A Common (and Annoying) Mistake I See in Fundraising
One of the most frustrating patterns I’ve witnessed in my years working with nonprofits happens during conversations about fundraising goals. When teams start discussing how much to raise for the next season or year, people throw out numbers like they’re contestants on The Price Is Right. Sometimes they base it on last year’s results. Sometimes on what feels “realistic.” And sometimes they simply name the number needed to cover all expenses.
Only one of these approaches is even close to the right path.
The Problem with Guessing
Yes, it’s important to consider what you’ve accomplished recently—but that alone isn’t good enough. A much sounder method is to break down the reliable sources of funding you actually expect to secure.
What counts as reliable? Think commitments already made, donors with a track record of consistent support, or fundraising events that have proven year after year to raise a certain amount.
You might be thinking: “If I only set goals based on past performance, how will I ever grow my budget?”
Fair question. You can account for new donors—but you need a method for explaining your projection.
Here’s One Approach
Let’s say you want to raise an additional $100,000 from new donors. You decide to focus on mid-level donors who give around $10,000 annually. Based on your previous fundraising efforts, you know you’re successful about 20% of the time with appeals at this level.
So to secure 10 new donors, you’ll need 50 solid prospects you’re actively cultivating.
But… if you don’t have 50 new prospects—or anything close to that—you’re probably not in a position to project $100,000 in new revenue. Similarly, if you don’t have a sense of your success rate with potential donors, you probably aren’t ready to make a projection at all.
And that’s okay. We all have to start somewhere.
But it is a mistake to stick ambitious goals on the wall without understanding where the money could come from. That leads to frustration and disappointment among your team and board—which can have more harmful ripple effects.
The Better Path Forward
Organizations looking to break out of the blind goal-setting pattern should use whatever fundraising data they have to set goals that are both realistic and ambitious.
Yes, fundraising requires a bit of magic to see success. But every great magician will tell you what’s behind every trick: science.
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